Senegal vs Malawi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.