MX23RW : Friday, March 29 06:05:50| >> :120:5029:5029:
Senegal national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 14, 2021 at 11am UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
Malawi national football team

Senegal
2 - 1
Malawi

A (11', 90+2')
P (63'), S (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muyaba (35')
Sanudi (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's COSAFA Cup clash between Senegal and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
SenegalDrawMalawi
54.8%23%22.2%
Both teams to score 54.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99%45.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64%67.36%
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69%16.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.11%45.89%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66%34.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96%71.04%
Score Analysis
    Senegal 54.79%
    Malawi 22.2%
    Draw 22.99%
SenegalDrawMalawi
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.21%
3-1 @ 5.95%
3-0 @ 5.57%
3-2 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 2.7%
4-0 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 1.44%
5-1 @ 0.98%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 54.79%
1-1 @ 10.85%
0-0 @ 5.6%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 5.99%
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-2 @ 3.2%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 22.2%

How you voted: Senegal vs Malawi

Senegal
85.7%
Draw
9.5%
Malawi
4.8%
21
rhs 2.0
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