COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 13, 2021 at 11am UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
Senegal2 - 1Zimbabwe
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Zimbabwe |
| 59.41% | 25.09% | 15.5% |
| Both teams to score 38.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.67% | 61.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.76% | 81.24% |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% | 20.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.66% | 53.34% |
| Zimbabwe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.37% | 51.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.24% | 85.76% |
| Score Analysis |
Senegal 59.41%
Zimbabwe 15.5%
Draw 25.08%
| Senegal | Draw | Zimbabwe |
| 1-0 @ 16.83% 2-0 @ 13.25% 2-1 @ 8.76% 3-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 4.6% 4-0 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.95% Total : 59.41% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 2.9% Other @ 0.36% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.07% 1-2 @ 3.68% 0-2 @ 2.34% Other @ 2.4% Total : 15.5% |
How you voted: Senegal vs Zimbabwe
Senegal
74.2%Draw
6.5%Zimbabwe
19.4%31


