Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 43.42%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.01%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Zimbabwe |
| 43.42% | 30.58% | 26% |
| Both teams to score 38.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.39% | 68.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.66% | 86.34% |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.29% | 31.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.87% | 68.13% |
| Zimbabwe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.8% | 44.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.72% | 80.28% |
| Score Analysis |
Mozambique 43.41%
Zimbabwe 26%
Draw 30.57%
| Mozambique | Draw | Zimbabwe |
| 1-0 @ 16.09% 2-0 @ 9.24% 2-1 @ 7.55% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.91% Total : 43.41% | 0-0 @ 14.01% 1-1 @ 13.14% 2-2 @ 3.08% Other @ 0.34% Total : 30.57% | 0-1 @ 11.44% 1-2 @ 5.37% 0-2 @ 4.67% 1-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.79% Total : 26% |


