Morocco national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 9, 2020 at 7pm UK
Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
Senegal national football team

Morocco
3 - 1
Senegal

Amallah (10'), En-Nesyri (71'), El-Arabi (86')
Chebake (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sarr (88' pen.)
Diatta (43')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Morocco and Senegal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 41.31%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Senegal had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Senegal win it was 0-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
MoroccoDrawSenegal
41.31%29.59%29.1%
Both teams to score 41.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.29%64.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.31%83.68%
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09%30.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8%67.2%
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.75%39.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04%75.96%
Score Analysis
    Morocco 41.3%
    Senegal 29.1%
    Draw 29.59%
MoroccoDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 14.24%
2-0 @ 8.36%
2-1 @ 7.82%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.3%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 12.13%
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.59%
0-1 @ 11.34%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 29.1%