Malawi national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2021 at 11am UK
Wolfson Stadium
Zimbabwe national football team

Malawi
2 - 2
Zimbabwe

Muyaba (27'), Kuwali (50')
Sulumba (66'), Chirwa (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
B (62'), Musaka (78')
Hachiro (45+1'), Mbeba (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's COSAFA Cup clash between Malawi and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
MalawiDrawZimbabwe
48.03%27.04%24.92%
Both teams to score 45.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.59%58.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.99%79.01%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6%24.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19%58.81%
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.71%39.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.01%75.99%
Score Analysis
    Malawi 48.03%
    Zimbabwe 24.92%
    Draw 27.04%
MalawiDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 13.52%
2-0 @ 9.54%
2-1 @ 8.91%
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 48.03%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 9.58%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 8.95%
1-2 @ 5.9%
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 24.92%

How you voted: Malawi vs Zimbabwe

Malawi
31.6%
Draw
5.3%
Zimbabwe
63.2%
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