Malawi vs Zimbabwe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.