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Collins Sikombe
15'
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23'
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34'
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44'
Zambia vs Malawi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Malawi win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zambia in this match.
Result
Zambia
42.22%
Draw
26.68%
Malawi
31.11%
Both Teams to Score:
50.85%
Goals
Over 2.5
46.04%
Under 2.5
53.96%
Over 3.5
24.59%
Under 3.5
75.41%
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5
74.72%
Under 0.5
25.28%
Over 1.5
39.96%
Under 1.5
60.04%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5
68.05%
Under 0.5
31.95%
Over 1.5
31.6%
Under 1.5
68.4%
Score analysis
Zambia
42.21%
Draw
26.67%
Malawi
31.11%
Zambia
1-0
@
11.1%
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.21%
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.21%
Draw
1-1
@
12.67%
0-0 @ 8.08%
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.67%
0-0 @ 8.08%
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.67%
Malawi
0-1
@
9.21%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.26%
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.11%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.26%
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.11%