Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Simon Msuva 68'

Uganda vs Tanzania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 8, 2022 2.00pm
Uganda 1 - 1 Niger

Tanzania

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 8, 2022 5.00pm
Tanzania 0 - 2 Algeria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 45.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 25.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Uganda 45.88% (-0.32)
Draw 28.47% (+0.02)
Tanzania 25.66% (+0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.81% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.33% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 62.67% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 17.78% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 82.23% (-0.10)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5 72.6% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 27.4% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 37.12% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 62.88% (+0.13)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5 58.96% (+0.37)
Under 0.5 41.04% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 22.41% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 77.59% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Uganda 45.87%
Draw 28.45%
Tanzania 25.65%
Uganda
1-0 @ 14.55% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 45.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.96% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 11.24% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.74% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.45%
Tanzania
0-1 @ 10.01% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.78% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.46% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.72% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.32% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 25.65%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Sep 24, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
  • Simon Msuva 29' goal
International Friendlies
Dec 9, 2021 4.30pm