Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 2pm UK

Uganda
0 - 1
Tanzania

FT(HT: 0-0)

Msuva (68')

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Uganda and Tanzania.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Uganda 1-3 Ivory Coast
Sunday, January 22 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Tanzania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Libya 2-1 Tanzania
Tuesday, September 27 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 45.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 25.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Uganda	Draw	Tanzania
45.88% ( -0.32)	28.47% ( 0.01)	25.66% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 42.81% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.33% (

0.14)

62.67% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.78% (

0.11)

82.23% (

-0.1)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.6% (

-0.09)

27.4% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.12% (

-0.12)

62.88% (

0.13)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.96% (

0.36)

41.04% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.41% (

0.32)

77.59% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Uganda 45.87%

Tanzania 25.65%

Draw 28.45%

Uganda	Draw	Tanzania
1-0 @ 14.55% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 45.87%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.45%	0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.25% Total : 25.65%