Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 8, 2022 at 5pm UK

Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Tanzania
0 - 2
Algeria

Dismas (55'), Nondo (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bensebaini (45+2'), El Amine Amoura (89')
Slimani (3'), El Amine Amoura (82'), Touba (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Tanzania and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tanzania

Last Six:

Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Algeria
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Uganda vs. Tanzania
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Algeria

Last Six:

Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Algeria
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Algeria vs. Niger
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Tanzania win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
Tanzania	Draw	Algeria
21.6% ( -0.01)	26.66% ( 0.03)	51.74% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 43.58% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.34% (

-0.11)

59.66% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.03% (

-0.08)

79.98% (

0.08)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.77% (

-0.07)

43.23% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.52% (

-0.06)

79.48% (

0.06)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.76% (

-0.06)

23.24% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.85% (

-0.08)

57.15% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Tanzania 21.6%

Algeria 51.73%

Draw 26.65%

Tanzania	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.6%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 14.66% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 51.73%