Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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Novatus Dismas
55'
-
Bakari Nondo
66'
-
Islam Slimani
3'
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Ramy Bensebaini
45'+2'
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Mohamed El Amine Amoura
82'
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Ahmed Touba
87'
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Mohamed El Amine Amoura
89'
Tanzania vs Algeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Tanzania win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
Result
Tanzania
21.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
26.66%
▲
(+0.04)
Algeria
51.74%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
43.58%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.34%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
59.66%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
20.03%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
79.98%
▲
(+0.09)
Tanzania Goals
Over 0.5
56.77%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
43.23%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
20.52%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
79.48%
▲
(+0.07)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5
76.76%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
23.24%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
42.85%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
57.15%
▲
(+0.09)
Score analysis
Tanzania
21.6%
Draw
26.65%
Algeria
51.73%
Tanzania
1-0
@
8.43%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.53%
3-1 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 21.6%
2-1 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.53%
3-1 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 21.6%
Draw
1-1
@
12.29%
0-0 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 26.65%
0-0 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 26.65%
Algeria
0-1
@
14.66%
▲
(+0.05)
0-2 @ 10.69% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 51.73%
0-2 @ 10.69% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 51.73%