Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 43.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (10.84%).