Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 8, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stade Alphonse Massamba-Débat

Congo
1 - 0
Gambia

Makoumbou (74')
Machel Hokemba Ovouka (5'), Ndzila (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Darboe (44'), Gomez (53'), Ceesay (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Congo and Gambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo

Last Six:

Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Congo vs. South Sudan
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo	3	3	7
2	Angola	3	1	5
3	Burkina Faso	3	-2	2
4	Cameroon	3	-2	1

Gambia

Last Six:

Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Mali vs. Gambia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Gambia win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Congo in this match.

Result
Congo	Draw	Gambia
36.61% ( 0.19)	28.47% ( 0.02)	34.92% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 46.39% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.02% (

-0.1)

59.97% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.78% (

-0.08)

80.22% (

0.08)

Congo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.65% (

0.07)

31.35% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.29% (

0.08)

67.71% (

-0.09)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.57% (

-0.2)

32.43% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.05% (

-0.23)

68.95% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Congo 36.61%

Gambia 34.91%

Draw 28.46%

Congo	Draw	Gambia
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.61%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.46%	0-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.91%