Gambia vs South Sudan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 13.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gambia in this match.