Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 12, 2022 at 4.45pm UK

Mauritania
0 - 1
Gambia

Ibnou Ba (28'), Moussa N'diaye (30')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jallow (10')
Colley (56'), Darboe (90+1'), Jallow (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Mauritania and Gambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Gambia win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Mauritania	Draw	Gambia
43.42%	26.57%	30%

Both teams to score 50.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.05%

53.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.6%

75.4%

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.34%

24.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.82%

59.18%

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26%

32.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.71%

69.29%

Score Analysis

Mauritania 43.42%

Gambia 30%

Draw 26.57%

Mauritania	Draw	Gambia
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.52% Total : 43.42%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 9.01% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.58% Total : 30%

How you voted: Mauritania vs Gambia

Mauritania

40.5%

Draw

31.5%

Gambia

27.9%