Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 12, 2022 4.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Pape Ibnou Ba 28' yellowcard
  • Almike Moussa N'diaye 30' yellowcard
  • goal Ablie Jallow 10'
  • yellowcard Ebrima Colley 56'
  • yellowcard Dembo Darboe 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Lamin Jallow 90'+1'

Mauritania vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions

Gambia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Gambia win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

Mauritania 43.42%
Draw 26.57%
Gambia 30%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.68%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.05%
Under 2.5 53.95%
Over 3.5 24.6%
Under 3.5 75.4%

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5 75.34%
Under 0.5 24.66%
Over 1.5 40.82%
Under 1.5 59.18%

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 67.26%
Under 0.5 32.73%
Over 1.5 30.71%
Under 1.5 69.29%

Score analysis

Mauritania 43.42%
Draw 26.57%
Gambia 30%
Mauritania
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 43.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.57%
Gambia
0-1 @ 9.01%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 30%