World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Nov 13, 2021 at 1pm UK

Zambia
4 - 0
Mauritania

Daka (34'), Sakala (37', 45+1', 63')
Kangwa (14')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Dellahi (24'), Diop (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Zambia and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.

Result
Zambia	Draw	Mauritania
50.37%	23.82%	25.8%

Both teams to score 56.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.93%

45.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.58%

67.41%

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.04%

17.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.21%

48.78%

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.71%

31.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.36%

67.63%

Score Analysis

Zambia 50.37%

Mauritania 25.8%

Draw 23.82%

Zambia	Draw	Mauritania
1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 9.63% 2-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 5.51% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.59% Total : 50.37%	1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 5.62% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.82%	0-1 @ 6.53% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.81% Total : 25.8%

How you voted: Zambia vs Mauritania

Zambia

96.0%

Draw

4.0%

Mauritania

0.0%