Zambia vs Mauritania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.