World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Oct 7, 2021 at 5pm UK

Eq Guinea
2 - 0
Zambia

Coco (35'), Nsue (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Daka (23'), Chapa (74'), Chanda (84')
Mumba (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Equatorial Guinea and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Zambia win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Equatorial Guinea would win this match.

Result
Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Zambia
41.63%	25.72%	32.65%

Both teams to score 54.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.46%

49.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.43%

71.57%

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.39%

23.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.32%

57.68%

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.31%

28.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.49%

64.5%

Score Analysis

Equatorial Guinea 41.63%

Zambia 32.65%

Draw 25.71%

Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.63%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 8.46% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.65%

How you voted: Eq Guinea vs Zambia

Equatorial Guinea

27.3%

Draw

31.8%

Zambia

40.9%