COSAFA Cup
Jul 13, 2021 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Wolfson Stadium
  • Justin Shonga 21' goal
  • Benson Sakala 41' yellowcard
  • Simon Silwimba 56' yellowcard
  • Moses Phiri 71' yellowcard
  • Justin Shonga 83' goal
  • yellowcard Tumisang Orebonye 47'
  • goal Thatayaone Kgamanyane 62'
  • yellowcard Mothusi Johnson 64'

Zambia vs Botswana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions
Last game
Jul 13, 2021 11.00am
Zambia 0 - 0 Malawi

Botswana

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last game
Jul 10, 2021 11.00am
Botswana 4 - 0 Lesotho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Botswana win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Zambia in this match.

Result

Zambia 45.23%
Draw 24.4%
Botswana 30.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.91%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.38%
Under 2.5 44.61%
Over 3.5 33.02%
Under 3.5 66.98%

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 80.14%
Under 0.5 19.85%
Over 1.5 48.05%
Under 1.5 51.95%

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5 72.26%
Under 0.5 27.74%
Over 1.5 36.69%
Under 1.5 63.3%

Score analysis

Zambia 45.23%
Draw 24.39%
Botswana 30.37%
Zambia
2-1 @ 9.23%
1-0 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 3.88%
3-2 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 45.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.39%
Botswana
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-1 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 1.94%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.37%