Botswana national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 10, 2021 at 11am UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
Lesotho national football team

Botswana
4 - 0
Lesotho

Orebonye (28', 45+4' pen., 69'), Kgamanyane (73')
Setsile (18'), Mohutsiwa (48')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nkoto (37'), Mphuthi (45+3'), Lerotholi (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's COSAFA Cup clash between Lesotho and Botswana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botswana would win this match.

Result
BotswanaDrawLesotho
42.11%24.26%33.62%
Both teams to score 59.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.26%42.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86%65.14%
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55%20.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09%52.91%
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2%24.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62%59.38%
Score Analysis
    Botswana 42.11%
    Lesotho 33.62%
    Draw 24.26%
BotswanaDrawLesotho
2-1 @ 8.91%
1-0 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 6.39%
3-1 @ 4.71%
3-0 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 42.11%
1-1 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-1 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 4.93%
1-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.29%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.62%

How you voted: Lesotho vs Botswana

Lesotho
0.0%
Draw
60.0%
Botswana
40.0%
5
rhs 2.0


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