COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 6, 2021 at 1pm UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
Eswatini3 - 1Lesotho
FT(HT: 1-1)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 2-1 (7.01%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 0-1 (12.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eswatini would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eswatini | Draw | Lesotho |
| 37.11% | 31.01% | 31.88% |
| Both teams to score 39.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
