COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 6, 2021 at 1pm UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
Lesotho national football team

Eswatini
3 - 1
Lesotho

Badenhorst (42'), Mkhontfo (57'), Mamba (78')
P. Figareido (30'), Mamba (45+3'), Mabelesa (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Khutlang (45')
Bereng (72')
Thaba-Ntso (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's COSAFA Cup clash between Eswatini and Lesotho, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 2-1 (7.01%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 0-1 (12.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eswatini would win this match.

Result
EswatiniDrawLesotho
37.11%31.01%31.88%
Both teams to score 39.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.74%68.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.89%86.11%
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61%35.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.85%72.15%
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.91%39.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.19%75.81%
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 37.11%
    Lesotho 31.88%
    Draw 30.99%
EswatiniDrawLesotho
1-0 @ 14.37%
2-0 @ 7.46%
2-1 @ 7.01%
3-0 @ 2.58%
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 37.11%
0-0 @ 13.83%
1-1 @ 13.49%
2-2 @ 3.29%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 30.99%
0-1 @ 12.99%
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 6.1%
1-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 31.88%

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