COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 6, 2021 at 4pm UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
South Africa1 - 0Botswana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.87%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.25%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 19.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Botswana |
| 57.74% | 27.56% | 14.7% |
| Both teams to score 31.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.93% | 69.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.36% | 86.64% |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% | 24.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.65% | 59.35% |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.48% | 57.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.67% | 89.33% |
| Score Analysis |
South Africa 57.73%
Botswana 14.7%
Draw 27.55%
| South Africa | Draw | Botswana |
| 1-0 @ 19.88% 2-0 @ 13.87% 2-1 @ 7.67% 3-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 3.57% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.24% 3-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.81% Total : 57.73% | 0-0 @ 14.25% 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 2.12% Other @ 0.19% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 7.88% 1-2 @ 3.04% 0-2 @ 2.18% Other @ 1.59% Total : 14.7% |


