World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Sep 3, 2021 at 8pm UK

Tunisia
3 - 0
Eq Guinea

Bronn (54'), Skhiri (78'), Khazri (82' pen.)
Bronn (5'), Sassi (69'), Mathlouthi (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Asumu Obama Ondo (4'), Alberto Meseguer Villanueva (32'), Buyla (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Tunisia and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
54.86%	24.15%	20.99%

Both teams to score 49.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.82%

51.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.97%

73.03%

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.45%

18.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.2%

49.8%

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61%

39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.28%

75.72%

Score Analysis

Tunisia 54.84%

Equatorial Guinea 20.99%

Draw 24.14%

Tunisia	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 12.18% 2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.84%	1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.14%	0-1 @ 6.81% 1-2 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.44% Total : 20.99%

How you voted: Tunisia vs Eq Guinea

Tunisia

87.1%

Draw

9.7%

Equatorial Guinea

3.2%