Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 52.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Zambia |
| 52.54% | 25.89% | 21.58% |
| Both teams to score 45.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.94% | 57.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% | 77.94% |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% | 21.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45% | 55.01% |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.25% | 41.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.78% | 78.22% |
| Score Analysis |
South Africa 52.53%
Zambia 21.58%
Draw 25.88%
| South Africa | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 13.86% 2-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.22% 3-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.97% Total : 52.53% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 5.29% 0-2 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.17% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.15% Total : 21.58% |
How you voted: South Africa vs Zambia
South Africa
84.6%Draw
7.7%Zambia
7.7%39


