World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
Zambia0 - 2Tunisia
FT(HT: 0-1)
Khazri (8' pen.), Ben Slimane (90+2')
Sassi (53'), Khazri (54'), Ali Ben Romdhane (78'), Laidouni (87')
Sassi (53'), Khazri (54'), Ali Ben Romdhane (78'), Laidouni (87')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Tunisia had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Tunisia win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Tunisia |
| 41.82% | 26.06% | 32.12% |
| Both teams to score 53.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
