Nigeria national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 13, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
 
Tunisia national football team

Nigeria
1 - 1
Tunisia

Iheanacho (21')
Iwobi (55'), Iheanacho (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Drager (44')
Rafia (10'), Bronn (12'), Ben Mustapha (28'), Meriah (55'), Khazri (76'), (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's international friendly between Nigeria and Tunisia, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 1-0 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
NigeriaDrawTunisia
33.6%30.01%36.39%
Both teams to score 42.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.82%65.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.98%84.02%
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.9%36.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.12%72.88%
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8%34.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.11%70.89%
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 33.59%
    Tunisia 36.38%
    Draw 30%
NigeriaDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 12.57%
2-1 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 33.59%
1-1 @ 13.49%
0-0 @ 12.34%
2-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 30%
0-1 @ 13.24%
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 7.11%
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 36.38%