World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 10, 2021 at 5pm UK
Zambia1 - 1Eq Guinea
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Equatorial Guinea win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
| 48.77% | 23.27% | 27.97% |
| Both teams to score 60.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
