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World Cup

Zambia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 10, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
Equatorial Guinea national football team

Zambia
1 - 1
Eq Guinea

Sakala (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bikoro (82')
Miranda (16'), Buyla (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Zambia and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Equatorial Guinea win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
ZambiaDrawEquatorial Guinea
48.77%23.27%27.97%
Both teams to score 60.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.16%40.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.77%63.22%
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04%16.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.95%47.05%
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54%27.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05%62.95%
Score Analysis
    Zambia 48.77%
    Equatorial Guinea 27.97%
    Draw 23.26%
ZambiaDrawEquatorial Guinea
2-1 @ 9.48%
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 7.33%
3-1 @ 5.6%
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 48.77%
1-1 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 4.66%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 6.9%
0-1 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 3.89%
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 1.68%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 27.97%

How you voted: Zambia vs Eq Guinea

Zambia
60.0%
Draw
22.9%
Equatorial Guinea
17.1%
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