Mauritania

1 - 1

Eq Guinea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.25%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest Equatorial Guinea win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.