Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 16, 2022 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sulayman Marreh 24' yellowcard
  • Musa Barrow 90' goal
  • Muhammed Badamosi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lassana Coulibaly 20'
  • yellowcard Moussa Djenepo 40'
  • yellowcard Massadio Haidara 43'
  • goal Ibrahima Kone 79'

Gambia vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 12, 2022 4.45pm
Mauritania 0 - 1 Gambia

Mali

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 12, 2022 1.00pm
Tunisia 0 - 1 Mali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Gambia 31.7%
Draw 26.7%
Mali 41.6%

Both Teams to Score: 

51%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.12%
Under 2.5 53.88%
Over 3.5 24.66%
Under 3.5 75.34%

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 68.51%
Under 0.5 31.49%
Over 1.5 32.12%
Under 1.5 67.88%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 74.44%
Under 0.5 25.56%
Over 1.5 39.57%
Under 1.5 60.42%

Score analysis

Gambia 31.7%
Draw 26.7%
Mali 41.59%
Gambia
1-0 @ 9.3%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.07%
3-2 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 31.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 8.05%
2-2 @ 5%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.7%
Mali
0-1 @ 10.97%
1-2 @ 8.65%
0-2 @ 7.49%
1-3 @ 3.94%
0-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 41.59%