Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 16, 2022 at 1pm UK
Independence Stadium
Gambia1 - 1Mali
We said: Gambia 0-2 Mali
We expect both sides to take the game to each other from start to finish as victory almost certainly secures their place in the knockout stages. The Malians boast a significantly superior and more-experienced squad and we are tipping them to maintain their perfect start to the tournament. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Mali |
| 31.7% | 26.7% | 41.6% |
| Both teams to score 51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
