Kenya vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Mali had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Mali win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.