World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Oct 10, 2021 at 2pm UK

Kenya
0 - 1
Mali

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kone (55')
Djenepo (4'), Kone (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Kenya and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Mali had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Mali win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Kenya	Draw	Mali
48.11%	25.89%	25.99%

Both teams to score 50.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.53%

53.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.01%

74.99%

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.76%

22.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34%

55.66%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.37%

35.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.61%

72.39%

Score Analysis

Kenya 48.11%

Mali 25.99%

Draw 25.89%

Kenya	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 11.9% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.95% 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.07% Total : 48.11%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.99%

How you voted: Kenya vs Mali

Kenya

16.0%

Draw

12.0%

Mali

72.0%