Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Uganda win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Uganda |
| 48.81% | 24.78% | 26.41% |
| Both teams to score 53.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.27% | 48.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% | 70.84% |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.82% | 52.18% |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% | 32.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% | 69.3% |
| Score Analysis |
Kenya 48.81%
Uganda 26.41%
Draw 24.78%
| Kenya | Draw | Uganda |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 8.48% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.83% Total : 48.81% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.55% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.31% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.52% Total : 26.41% |
How you voted: Kenya vs Uganda
Kenya
61.9%Draw
28.6%Uganda
9.5%21


