Kenya vs Uganda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Uganda win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.