International Friendlies
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M. Tandi
21'
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Cliff Nyakeya
27'
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87'
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90'+3'
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Fashion Sakala
38'
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Kabaso Chongo
55'
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Kelvin Kampamba
81'
Kenya vs Zambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 46.77%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.
Result
Kenya
46.77%
Draw
29.03%
Zambia
24.2%
Both Teams to Score:
40.36%
Goals
Over 2.5
34.84%
Under 2.5
65.16%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5
71.86%
Under 0.5
28.14%
Over 1.5
36.18%
Under 1.5
63.82%
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5
56.17%
Under 0.5
43.83%
Over 1.5
20.01%
Under 1.5
79.99%
Score analysis
Kenya
46.77%
Draw
29.02%
Zambia
24.2%
Kenya
1-0
@
15.64%
2-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 8.18%
3-0 @ 4.19%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 46.77%
2-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 8.18%
3-0 @ 4.19%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 46.77%
Draw
1-1
@
12.9%
0-0 @ 12.33%
2-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.02%
0-0 @ 12.33%
2-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.02%
Zambia
0-1
@
10.17%
1-2 @ 5.32%
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 5.32%
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 24.2%