Kenya

2 - 1

Zambia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 46.77%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.