World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Sep 6, 2021 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Murushidi Jjuko 34' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Arnold Okwi 64' yellowcard
  • Murushidi Jjuko 64' redcard

Uganda vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Sep 2, 2021 2.00pm
Kenya 0 - 0 Uganda

Mali

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Sep 1, 2021 8.00pm
Mali 1 - 0 Rwanda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Mali had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Mali win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Uganda 38.37%
Draw 25.67%
Mali 35.96%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.34%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.26%
Under 2.5 48.74%
Over 3.5 29.15%
Under 3.5 70.85%

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5 75.07%
Under 0.5 24.93%
Over 1.5 40.44%
Under 1.5 59.56%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 73.72%
Under 0.5 26.28%
Over 1.5 38.6%
Under 1.5 61.39%

Score analysis

Uganda 38.37%
Draw 25.67%
Mali 35.96%
Uganda
1-0 @ 9.1%
2-1 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-0 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 38.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.55%
2-2 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.67%
Mali
0-1 @ 8.76%
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-2 @ 5.85%
1-3 @ 3.62%
0-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 35.96%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 25, 2017 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Farouk Miya 70' goal
  • goal Yves Bissouma 74'