/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Frwalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmallog_2.png)
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Djihad Bizimana
7'
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Emmanuel Imanishimwe
72'
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Moussa Djenepo
19'
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Ibrahima Kone
21'
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Ibrahima Kone
48'
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Mohamed Camara
70'
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Kalifa Coulibaly
87'
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Kalifa Coulibaly
88'
Rwanda vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Rwanda had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Rwanda win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
Result
Rwanda
35.33%
Draw
28.28%
Mali
36.4%
Both Teams to Score:
46.95%
Goals
Over 2.5
40.71%
Under 2.5
59.29%
Over 3.5
20.31%
Under 3.5
79.69%
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5
68.18%
Under 0.5
31.82%
Over 1.5
31.74%
Under 1.5
68.26%
Mali Goals
Over 0.5
68.86%
Under 0.5
31.14%
Over 1.5
32.53%
Under 1.5
67.47%
Score analysis
Rwanda
35.32%
Draw
28.27%
Mali
36.4%
Rwanda
1-0
@
11.34%
2-1 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.32%
2-1 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.32%
Draw
1-1
@
13.23%
0-0 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.27%
0-0 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.27%
Mali
0-1
@
11.56%
1-2 @ 7.72%
0-2 @ 6.74%
1-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 36.4%
1-2 @ 7.72%
0-2 @ 6.74%
1-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 36.4%