World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Oct 7, 2021 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Fahad Bayo 41'
  • yellowcard Timothy Awany 58'
  • yellowcard Khalid Aucho 63'
  • yellowcard Rwothomio Cromwell 77'

Rwanda vs Uganda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Sep 5, 2021 2.00pm
Rwanda 1 - 1 Kenya

Uganda

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Sep 6, 2021 2.00pm
Uganda 0 - 0 Mali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest Uganda win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Rwanda 41.62%
Draw 28.66%
Uganda 29.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.59%

Goals

Over 2.5 38.4%
Under 2.5 61.6%
Over 3.5 18.56%
Under 3.5 81.44%

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5 70.82%
Under 0.5 29.17%
Over 1.5 34.88%
Under 1.5 65.11%

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5 62.97%
Under 0.5 37.03%
Over 1.5 26.18%
Under 1.5 73.82%

Score analysis

Rwanda 41.61%
Draw 28.66%
Uganda 29.71%
Rwanda
1-0 @ 13.3%
2-0 @ 8.2%
2-1 @ 8.14%
3-0 @ 3.37%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.04%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 41.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.66%
Uganda
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 6.57%
0-2 @ 5.33%
1-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 29.71%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship
Jan 18, 2021 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Réunification
  • Rachid Kalisa 32' yellowcard
  • Dany Usengimana 77' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Imanishimwe 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard J 16'
  • yellowcard Paul Willa 55'