Uganda vs Rwanda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Rwanda had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Rwanda win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match.