World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Oct 10, 2021 at 2pm UK

Uganda
1 - 0
Rwanda

Bayo (22')
Lwanga (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mukunzi (74'), Nishimwe (84'), Iradukunda (87'), Kagere (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Uganda and Rwanda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Rwanda had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Rwanda win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match.

Result
Uganda	Draw	Rwanda
43.61%	26.7%	29.68%

Both teams to score 50.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.4%

54.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.06%

75.93%

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.15%

24.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.55%

59.45%

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.69%

33.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.07%

69.93%

Score Analysis

Uganda 43.61%

Rwanda 29.68%

Draw 26.7%

Uganda	Draw	Rwanda
1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.61%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 9.1% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.68%

How you voted: Uganda vs Rwanda

Uganda

71.9%

Draw

21.9%

Rwanda

6.3%