Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals

Jan 29, 2022 at 4pm UK

Independence Stadium

Gambia
0 - 2
Cameroon

Sonko-Sundberg (21'), Modou (33'), Gaye (40')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Toko Ekambi (50', 57')
Ngadeu-Ngadjui (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Gambia and Cameroon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Cameroon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cameroon.

Result
Gambia	Draw	Cameroon
30.15%	26.89%	42.96%

Both teams to score 49.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.86%

55.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.62%

76.38%

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.75%

33.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.14%

69.86%

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.58%

25.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.76%

60.24%

Score Analysis

Gambia 30.15%

Cameroon 42.96%

Draw 26.89%

Gambia	Draw	Cameroon
1-0 @ 9.31% 2-1 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.15%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.89%	0-1 @ 11.57% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-2 @ 7.93% 1-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.96%

How you voted: Gambia vs Cameroon

Gambia

27.6%

Draw

8.9%

Cameroon

63.4%