Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 24, 2022 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ibrahima Conte 81' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Conte 90'+3' redcard
  • yellowcard Yusupha Bobb 27'
  • goal Musa Barrow 71'
  • yellowcard Yusupha Njie 74'
  • redcard Yusupha Njie 87'

Guinea vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions

Gambia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gambia in this match.

Result

Guinea 47.22%
Draw 23.24%
Gambia 29.54%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 60.32%
Under 2.5 39.67%
Over 3.5 37.97%
Under 3.5 62.02%

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 82.9%
Under 0.5 17.1%
Over 1.5 52.7%
Under 1.5 47.3%

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 74.19%
Under 0.5 25.81%
Over 1.5 39.23%
Under 1.5 60.77%

Score analysis

Guinea 47.22%
Draw 23.23%
Gambia 29.54%
Guinea
2-1 @ 9.32%
1-0 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 6.88%
3-1 @ 5.49%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 2.42%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 47.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 4.41%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.23%
Gambia
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-1 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.54%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 12, 2020 11.00pm
Estádio Municipal de Albufeira