Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16

Jan 24, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade 28 Septembre

Guinea
0 - 1
Gambia

Conte (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barrow (71')
Bobb (27'), Njie (74')
Njie (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Guinea and Gambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gambia in this match.

Result
Guinea	Draw	Gambia
47.22%	23.24%	29.54%

Both teams to score 61.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.32%

39.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.97%

62.02%

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9%

17.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.7%

47.3%

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.19%

25.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.23%

60.77%

Score Analysis

Guinea 47.22%

Gambia 29.54%

Draw 23.23%

Guinea	Draw	Gambia
2-1 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 5.49% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 4.11% Total : 47.22%	1-1 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.41% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.23%	1-2 @ 7.15% 0-1 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.54%

How you voted: Guinea vs Gambia

Guinea

37.0%

Draw

18.8%

Gambia

44.2%