Guinea1 - 0Malawi
We said: Guinea 2-1 Malawi
Guinea have more experience at this level and will be expected to come away with all three points in this one, and while we fancy Malawi to push them all the way, we are also backing Guinea to carry the day at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Guinea.
Result | ||
Guinea | Draw | Malawi |
53.28% | 25.51% | 21.2% |
Both teams to score 46.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.9% | 56.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.83% | 77.17% |
Guinea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% | 21.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.08% | 53.92% |
Malawi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.41% | 41.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.92% | 78.07% |
Score Analysis |
Guinea | Draw | Malawi |
1-0 @ 13.65% 2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 4.84% 4-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.28% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 7.7% 1-2 @ 5.25% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.2% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.16% Total : 21.2% |
How you voted: Guinea vs Malawi
Nadal
Ofner
Bautista-Agut
Sonego
Mensik
Carballes Baena
Medjedovic
Monteiro
Ruusuvuori
Fonseca
Auger-Aliassime
Arnaldi
Giron
Kotov
Cobolli
Kecmanovic
Maria
Cirstea
Potapova
Rus
Camelia-Begu
Navarro
Jabeur
Wang
Van Assche
Zverev
Shapovalov
Van De Zandschulp
Draper
Cerundolo
Klein
Bagnis
Fils
Fritz
Daniel
Struff
Seyboth Wild
Rune
Alcaraz
Krueger
Noskova
Kalinskaya
Montgomery
Rybakina
Danilovic
Krejcikova
Kalinina
Wang
Sabalenka
Saville
Svitolina
Sakkari
Yastremska
Samsonova
Bouzas Maneiro
Errani
Kudermetova
Stephens
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1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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