Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 10, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade 28 Septembre

Guinea
1 - 0
Malawi

Sylla (35')
Conte (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Idana (81'), Mbulu (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Guinea and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Guinea.

Result
Guinea	Draw	Malawi
53.28%	25.51%	21.2%

Both teams to score 46.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.9%

56.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.83%

77.17%

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9%

21.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.08%

53.92%

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.41%

41.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.92%

78.07%

Score Analysis

Guinea 53.28%

Malawi 21.2%

Draw 25.51%

Guinea	Draw	Malawi
1-0 @ 13.65% 2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 4.84% 4-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.28%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 7.7% 1-2 @ 5.25% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.2% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.16% Total : 21.2%