World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 16, 2021 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Reginaldo 48' yellowcard
  • Limbikani Mzava 51' goal
  • Shaquille 53' yellowcard
  • Ernan 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Khuda Muyaba 90'+1'

Mozambique vs Malawi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 13, 2021 7.00pm
Ivory Coast 3 - 0 Mozambique

Malawi

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 13, 2021 1.00pm
Malawi 0 - 4 Cameroon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Malawi win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mozambique in this match.

Result

Mozambique 41.49%
Draw 27.69%
Malawi 30.82%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.72%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.1%
Under 2.5 57.89%
Over 3.5 21.39%
Under 3.5 78.6%

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5 72.52%
Under 0.5 27.47%
Over 1.5 37.03%
Under 1.5 62.97%

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5 65.8%
Under 0.5 34.2%
Over 1.5 29.1%
Under 1.5 70.89%

Score analysis

Mozambique 41.48%
Draw 27.69%
Malawi 30.82%
Mozambique
1-0 @ 12.13%
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.69%
Malawi
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 5.41%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 30.82%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Sep 7, 2021 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Richard Mbulu 10' goal
  • Chimwemwe Idana 90' yellowcard
COSAFA Cup
Jul 11, 2021 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • D. Muze 53' yellowcard
  • V. J. Tesoura Junior 55' goal
  • V. J. Tesoura Junior 60' yellowcard
  • S. M. Nangy 65' yellowcard
  • Francisco Nelson Simbine 68' goal
  • E. A. Siluane 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chikoti Chirwa 14'
  • yellowcard Schumacher Kuwali 22'