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World Cup

Mozambique national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 1pm UK
 
Malawi national football team

Mozambique
1 - 0
Malawi

Mzava (51' og.)
Reginaldo (48'), Shaquille (53'), Ernan (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Muyaba (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mozambique and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Malawi win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mozambique in this match.

Result
MozambiqueDrawMalawi
41.49%27.69%30.82%
Both teams to score 47.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.1%57.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.39%78.6%
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52%27.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03%62.97%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8%34.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1%70.89%
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 41.48%
    Malawi 30.82%
    Draw 27.69%
MozambiqueDrawMalawi
1-0 @ 12.13%
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.48%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 5.41%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 30.82%

How you voted: Mozambique vs Malawi

Mozambique
25.9%
Draw
0.0%
Malawi
74.1%
27
rhs 2.0


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