World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Nov 16, 2021 at 7pm UK

Morocco
3 - 0
Guinea

Mmaee (21' pen., 29'), El Kaabi (60')
Masina (68'), Barkok (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Diawara (26'), Camara (49'), Conte (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Morocco and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 23.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Morocco	Draw	Guinea
51.47%	24.89%	23.64%

Both teams to score 50.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.57%

51.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.76%

73.24%

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.02%

19.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.85%

52.15%

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.43%

36.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.64%

73.36%

Score Analysis

Morocco 51.46%

Guinea 23.64%

Draw 24.89%

Morocco	Draw	Guinea
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 9.48% 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-0 @ 5.09% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.46%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 7.35% 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.8% Total : 23.64%

How you voted: Morocco vs Guinea

Morocco

81.0%

Draw

14.3%

Guinea

4.8%