World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Oct 6, 2021 at 8pm UK

Morocco
5 - 0
Guinea-Bissau

Hakimi (31'), Louza (45+1' pen.), Chaira (49'), El Kaabi (62'), El Haddadi (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Balde (35'), Djalo (37'), Nogueira (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Morocco and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Morocco	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
56.65%	22.85%	20.51%

Both teams to score 53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.59%

46.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.3%

68.7%

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.83%

16.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.37%

45.63%

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.22%

36.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.43%

73.57%

Score Analysis

Morocco 56.64%

Guinea-Bissau 20.51%

Draw 22.84%

Morocco	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.87% 3-1 @ 6% 3-0 @ 6% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 1.37% 5-0 @ 1% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.26% Total : 56.64%	1-1 @ 10.83% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.84%	0-1 @ 5.95% 1-2 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.71% Total : 20.51%

How you voted: Morocco vs Guinea-Bissau

Morocco

79.7%

Draw

12.2%

Guinea-Bissau

8.1%