Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 18, 2022 at 4pm UK

Zimbabwe
2 - 1
Guinea

Musona (26'), Mahachi (43')
Shumba (56'), Mahachi (86'), Bhasera (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Keita (49')
Cisse (34'), Keita (90+1'), Kane (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Zimbabwe and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 36.04%. A win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.2%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Zimbabwe win was 1-0 (12.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Zimbabwe	Draw	Guinea
33.94%	30.02%	36.04%

Both teams to score 42.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.8%

65.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.97%

84.03%

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13%

35.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.35%

72.65%

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.56%

34.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.85%

71.15%

Score Analysis

Zimbabwe 33.94%

Guinea 36.03%

Draw 30.02%

Zimbabwe	Draw	Guinea
1-0 @ 12.66% 2-1 @ 6.92% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.02% Total : 33.94%	1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.35% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.02%	0-1 @ 13.16% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.03%

How you voted: Zimbabwe vs Guinea

Zimbabwe

33.3%

Draw

8.3%

Guinea

58.3%