World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 14, 2021 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kudakwashe Mahachi 39' goal
  • Taimon Mvula 83' yellowcard
  • goal Abubeker Nasir Ahmed 86'

Zimbabwe vs Ethiopia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Zimbabwe

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 11, 2021 7.00pm
South Africa 1 - 0 Zimbabwe

Ethiopia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 11, 2021 1.00pm
Ethiopia 1 - 1 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Zimbabwe 49.69%
Draw 25.81%
Ethiopia 24.5%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.93%

Goals

Over 2.5 45.72%
Under 2.5 54.28%
Over 3.5 24.33%
Under 3.5 75.67%

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5 78.12%
Under 0.5 21.88%
Over 1.5 44.88%
Under 1.5 55.12%

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5 62.63%
Under 0.5 37.37%
Over 1.5 25.84%
Under 1.5 74.16%

Score analysis

Zimbabwe 49.69%
Draw 25.8%
Ethiopia 24.5%
Zimbabwe
1-0 @ 12.42%
2-0 @ 9.44%
2-1 @ 9.29%
3-0 @ 4.78%
3-1 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 49.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 8.18%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.8%
Ethiopia
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 24.5%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Sep 7, 2021 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aschalew Tamene 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Talbert Shumba 72'
  • yellowcard Marshall Munetsi 78'
  • yellowcard Alec Mudimu 86'