World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Oct 12, 2021 at 5pm UK

South Africa
1 - 0
Ethiopia

Kebede (11' og.)
Letsoalo (21'), Zuke (89'), Kutumela (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nasir Ahmed (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between South Africa and Ethiopia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Ethiopia
55.74%	26.27%	17.99%

Both teams to score 39.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.04%

61.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.3%

81.7%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.51%

22.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.96%

56.04%

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.3%

48.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.26%

83.74%

Score Analysis

South Africa 55.74%

Ethiopia 17.99%

Draw 26.26%

South Africa	Draw	Ethiopia
1-0 @ 16.34% 2-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 8.77% 3-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 4.36% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.55% Total : 55.74%	1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.4% Total : 26.26%	0-1 @ 7.88% 1-2 @ 4.23% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.99%

How you voted: South Africa vs Ethiopia

South Africa

92.7%

Draw

4.9%

Ethiopia

2.4%