World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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-
Getaneh Kebede
67'
-
Teboho Mokoena
45'+1'
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Thabiso Simon Kutumela
66'
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Mothobi Mvala
71'
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Victor Letsoalo
77'
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Ronwen Williams
82'
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Evidence Makgopa
90'+1'
Ethiopia vs South Africa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.45%). The likeliest South Africa win was 0-1 (12.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result
Ethiopia
38.93%
Draw
30.17%
South Africa
30.9%
Both Teams to Score:
41.15%
Goals
Over 2.5
33.98%
Under 2.5
66.02%
Over 3.5
15.4%
Under 3.5
84.59%
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5
66.98%
Under 0.5
33.01%
Over 1.5
30.39%
Under 1.5
69.6%
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5
61.43%
Under 0.5
38.56%
Over 1.5
24.69%
Under 1.5
75.31%
Score analysis
Ethiopia
38.92%
Draw
30.16%
South Africa
30.9%
Ethiopia
1-0
@
14.1%
2-0 @ 7.82%
2-1 @ 7.45%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 38.92%
2-0 @ 7.82%
2-1 @ 7.45%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 38.92%
Draw
1-1
@
13.44%
0-0 @ 12.73%
2-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.16%
0-0 @ 12.73%
2-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.16%
South Africa
0-1
@
12.13%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 5.78%
1-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 30.9%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 5.78%
1-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 30.9%