World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 9, 2021 at 2pm UK
Ethiopia1 - 3South Africa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.45%). The likeliest South Africa win was 0-1 (12.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ethiopia | Draw | South Africa |
| 38.93% | 30.17% | 30.9% |
| Both teams to score 41.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
