World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Oct 9, 2021 at 2pm UK

Ethiopia
1 - 3
South Africa

Kebede (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mokoena (45+1'), Mvala (71'), Makgopa (90+1')
Simon Kutumela (66'), Letsoalo (77'), Williams (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ethiopia and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.45%). The likeliest South Africa win was 0-1 (12.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Ethiopia	Draw	South Africa
38.93%	30.17%	30.9%

Both teams to score 41.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.98%

66.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.4%

84.59%

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.98%

33.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.39%

69.6%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.43%

38.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.69%

75.31%

Score Analysis

Ethiopia 38.92%

South Africa 30.9%

Draw 30.16%

Ethiopia	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 14.1% 2-0 @ 7.82% 2-1 @ 7.45% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.92%	1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 12.73% 2-2 @ 3.55% Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.16%	0-1 @ 12.13% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.59% Total : 30.9%

How you voted: Ethiopia vs South Africa

Ethiopia

28.9%

Draw

18.4%

South Africa

52.6%