South Africa
3 - 0
Mozambique

Ngcobo (24'), Yusuf Maart (59'), Victor Letsoalo (73' pen.)
Sithebe (38'), Ngcobo (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Macaime Junior (33'), M. Nangy (45+1'), Muze (58'), J. Pelembe (79'), Ernesto (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's COSAFA Cup clash between South Africa and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 19.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Mozambique
55.61%	25.04%	19.35%

Both teams to score 44.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.62%

56.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.6%

77.4%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.74%

20.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.39%

52.6%

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.23%

43.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.06%

79.93%

Score Analysis

South Africa 55.6%

Mozambique 19.35%

Draw 25.03%

South Africa	Draw	Mozambique
1-0 @ 14.15% 2-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 4.97% 4-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.39% Total : 55.6%	1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 7.33% 1-2 @ 4.83% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.35%