South Africa national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 8, 2021 at 2pm UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium

South Africa
1 - 0
Eswatini

Sibanyoni (59')
Mkhulise (42'), Sibanyoni (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Badenhorst (27'), Mamba (36'), Mkhwanazi (90+3')
Badenhorst (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's COSAFA Cup clash between South Africa and Eswatini, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 14.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.74%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.46%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawEswatini
58.89%26.23%14.88%
Both teams to score 34.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.55%65.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.79%84.2%
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34%22.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7%56.3%
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.97%55.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.1%87.89%
Score Analysis
    South Africa 58.89%
    Eswatini 14.88%
    Draw 26.22%
South AfricaDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 18.51%
2-0 @ 13.74%
2-1 @ 8.21%
3-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 4.06%
4-0 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.51%
3-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 58.89%
0-0 @ 12.46%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 2.45%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 7.45%
1-2 @ 3.3%
0-2 @ 2.23%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 14.88%