World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Sep 7, 2021 at 2pm UK

Ethiopia
1 - 0
Zimbabwe

Tamene (90+4' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Shumba (72'), Munetsi (78'), Mudimu (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ethiopia and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ethiopia in this match.

Result
Ethiopia	Draw	Zimbabwe
51.11%	25.73%	23.15%

Both teams to score 47.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.92%

55.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.66%

76.34%

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.41%

21.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.31%

54.69%

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.94%

39.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.22%

75.78%

Score Analysis

Ethiopia 51.1%

Zimbabwe 23.16%

Draw 25.73%

Ethiopia	Draw	Zimbabwe
1-0 @ 12.92% 2-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 9.31% 3-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.1%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 7.93% 1-2 @ 5.71% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.46% Total : 23.16%