Malawi vs Zimbabwe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Zimbabwe win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malawi would win this match.