Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 20, 2022 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ebou Adams 48' yellowcard
  • James Gomez 89' yellowcard
  • Ablie Jallow 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Hamza Mathlouthi 45'+2'
  • redcard Farouk Ben Mustapha 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Hannibal Mejbri 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Drager 90'+2'

Gambia vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 16, 2022 1.00pm
Gambia 1 - 1 Mali

Tunisia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 16, 2022 4.00pm
Tunisia 4 - 0 Mauritania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Tunisia had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Tunisia win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gambia in this match.

Result

Gambia 42.1%
Draw 27.85%
Tunisia 30.04%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.97%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.31%
Under 2.5 58.69%
Over 3.5 20.77%
Under 3.5 79.23%

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 72.48%
Under 0.5 27.51%
Over 1.5 36.98%
Under 1.5 63.02%

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5 64.8%
Under 0.5 35.2%
Over 1.5 28.04%
Under 1.5 71.95%

Score analysis

Gambia 42.1%
Draw 27.85%
Tunisia 30.04%
Gambia
1-0 @ 12.49%
2-1 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 1.89%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 42.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.85%
Tunisia
0-1 @ 10.11%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 30.04%