Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 16, 2022 at 4pm UK

Tunisia
4 - 0
Mauritania

Mathlouthi (4'), Khazri (9', 64'), Jaziri (66')
Khazri (15'), Ifa (37'), Ben Slimane (45+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kamara (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Tunisia and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Mauritania
58.89%	21.3%	19.81%

Both teams to score 57.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.52%

40.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.14%

62.85%

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.55%

13.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.58%

40.42%

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.93%

34.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.25%

70.75%

Score Analysis

Tunisia 58.89%

Mauritania 19.81%

Draw 21.3%

Tunisia	Draw	Mauritania
2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 9.19% 3-1 @ 6.64% 3-0 @ 6.17% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 3.33% 4-0 @ 3.09% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.37% Total : 58.89%	1-1 @ 9.9% 2-2 @ 5.35% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.3%	1-2 @ 5.33% 0-1 @ 4.93% 0-2 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.81%

How you voted: Tunisia vs Mauritania

Tunisia

90.5%

Draw

4.8%

Mauritania