World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Nov 16, 2021 at 7pm UK

Tunisia
3 - 1
Zambia

Laidouni (18'), Drager (31'), Maaloul (43')
Khazri (62')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Sakala (80')
Mwape (15'), Chiluya (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Tunisia and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Zambia
54.54%	23.53%	21.92%

Both teams to score 52.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.39%

47.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.19%

69.81%

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.66%

17.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.28%

47.72%

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.95%

36.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.17%

72.83%

Score Analysis

Tunisia 54.54%

Zambia 21.92%

Draw 23.53%

Tunisia	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.6% 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 5.6% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 2.51% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.73% Total : 54.54%	1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.53%	0-1 @ 6.38% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.92%

How you voted: Tunisia vs Zambia

Tunisia

73.3%

Draw

6.7%

Zambia

20.0%