Equatorial Guinea vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Tunisia had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Tunisia win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match.