World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Nov 13, 2021 at 4pm UK

Eq Guinea
1 - 0
Tunisia

Ganet (84')
Siafa (35'), Coco (45+2'), Anieboh (46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sassi (29'), Kechrida (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Equatorial Guinea and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Tunisia had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Tunisia win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match.

Result
Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Tunisia
40.71%	27.76%	31.53%

Both teams to score 47.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.06%

57.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.36%

78.63%

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08%

27.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.45%

63.54%

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29%

33.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.64%

70.36%

Score Analysis

Equatorial Guinea 40.7%

Tunisia 31.52%

Draw 27.75%

Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.82% Total : 40.7%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.52%

How you voted: Eq Guinea vs Tunisia

Equatorial Guinea

7.1%

Draw

10.7%

Tunisia

82.1%